Ugi Corporation Stock Performance

UGI Stock  USD 38.76  0.50  1.31%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, UGI holds a performance score of 9. The entity has a beta of -0.22, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning UGI are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, UGI is likely to outperform the market. Please check UGI's semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether UGI's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in UGI Corporation are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, UGI may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow228 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-699 M

UGI Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,450  in UGI Corporation on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  409.00  from holding UGI Corporation or generate 11.86% return on investment over 90 days. UGI Corporation is generating 0.1965% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.6077% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than UGI, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon UGI is expected to generate 2.13 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.13 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

UGI Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of UGI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 38.76 90 days 38.76 
about 27.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UGI to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.2 (This UGI Corporation probability density function shows the probability of UGI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon UGI Corporation has a beta of -0.22. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding UGI are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, UGI Corporation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally UGI Corporation has an alpha of 0.1959, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   UGI Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for UGI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UGI Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.1038.7240.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.8843.8145.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as UGI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against UGI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, UGI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in UGI Corporation.

UGI Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UGI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UGI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UGI Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UGI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
1.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

UGI Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UGI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UGI Corporation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: CMS Energys Outperform Rating Reiterated at BMO Capital Markets

UGI Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of UGI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential UGI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UGI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding219.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments355 M

UGI Fundamentals Growth

UGI Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of UGI, and UGI fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on UGI Stock performance.

About UGI Performance

By evaluating UGI's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into UGI's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if UGI has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if UGI has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
UGI Corporation distributes, stores, transports, and markets energy products and related services in the United States and internationally. UGI Corporation was incorporated in 1991 and is based in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania. Ugi Corp operates under Diversified Utilities classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange.

Things to note about UGI Corporation performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about UGI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for UGI Corporation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: CMS Energys Outperform Rating Reiterated at BMO Capital Markets
Evaluating UGI's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate UGI's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing UGI's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether UGI's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining UGI's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating UGI's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of UGI's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of UGI's stock. These opinions can provide insight into UGI's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating UGI's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact UGI's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for UGI Stock analysis

When running UGI's price analysis, check to measure UGI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UGI is operating at the current time. Most of UGI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UGI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UGI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UGI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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